The Book I chose to explore was I Survived: The San Francisco Earthquake, 1906. Author and illustrated by Lauren Tarshis. I chose this book because I enjoyed the previous "I survived" novel that I read. This book is a Non-Fiction book because the events that occur in this book actually happened. Leo was an actual kid who experienced so much disaster that no one should have to go through.
Although the San Francisco Earthquake of 1906 and the Great Chicago Fire of 1871 were both horrific events that created huge destruction on the United States, they took a big toll in people’s lives in many different ways and encouraged them to take charge and rebuild back their hometowns that they loved. The San Francisco Earthquake commenced at five thirteen o’clock in the morning, with the epicenter offshore of San Francisco. The city carried more than 400,000 people during this event (Earthquake of 1906, 1). Most of the citizens who were present during the earthquake were all in bed asleep, but the early morning risers were able to witness the start of everything (The Great 1906, 5).
From Old to New The article ‘The Really Big One’ written by Kathryn Schulz discusses the Cascadia Subduction Zone and its threat to the people of the Pacific Northwest. She uses the article to inform the public of how the zone was discovered, how devastating the earthquakes and tsunamis will be in this zone, and how most of the Pacific Northwest is not prepared for this zone to erupt. After Schulz article was published, it became a well known across the nation. Everyone who read the article became scared at the thought of this impending doom.
The book Freakonomics by Steven D. Levitt and Stephen J. Dubner talks about many different things, including cheating teachers and sumo wrestlers, how abortion lowered crime rates, how a street crack gang works, and whether the way parents raise their children even matter. These topics seem to have nothing in common, but all of these topics were identified in the same way: an economist (Levitt) looked at school test scores, crime data, and all sorts of other information, looking at them in unconventional ways. Because of that, he has come to many interesting and unique conclusions that make complete sense. These findings were based on some simple ideas: the power of incentives, conventional wisdom is not always right, things may not have obvious causes, and experts often serve their own interests instead of the interests of others. Perhaps the most important idea in the book is, as Levitt and Dubner state, “Knowing what to measure and how to measure it makes a complicated world much less so” (14).
An inspirational event from Ruth Newman’s story of surviving the San Francisco earthquake is when Mrs.Newman was 4 when the earthquake shook. Newman memory never faded that her home was shaking about 70 miles north of San Francisco. Newman remembered that she was downstairs and her father picking her up and running out of the house. When the massive earthquake shook 1,000 people were killed by the earthquake and subsequent fires. Mrs.Newman was 113
The assessment of an affirmed expert capability in his or her field is not a novel idea, and it is well inside of the capacities of our skilled federal judiciary. Once a judge has chosen a witness is qualified to serve as a specialist, Daubert requires the judge to make an autonomous appraisal to "guarantee that any experimental confirmation or proof conceded is important, as well as solid. This includes an examination of the philosophy fundamental the expert assessment to figure out if it uses legitimate experimental techniques and strategies. Daubert recommends a few components to help government judges in assessing whether a specific experimental hypothesis or study is solid: (1) its observational testability; (2) whether the hypothesis or study has been distributed or subjected to associate survey; (3) whether the known or potential rate of mistake is
Nate Silver’s The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fails- But Some Don’t serves as a guide to ordinary citizens on the dangers and benefits of prediction and forecasting in modern society. The book criticizes many of society’s so-called “experts and authorities” for their incorrect usage of statistical methodologies. Silver illustrates the statistical problems and progress that society has made through the usage of multiple examples and professions ranging from baseball predictions to seismology.
2. The argument is introduced at the beginning of chapter three when John Kenneth Galbraith produces the phrase “conventional wisdom” (86). He says that people are instinctively drawn to manipulate statistical information in order to conveniently benefit themselves. The introduction to chapter three is effective and grabs a reader's attention because it asks prospective questions, causing one to do a double take. The authors says “If you can question something that people really care about and find and answer that may surprise them- that is, if you can overturn the conventional
The impact of the New Madrid earthquake, although did not result in a lot of fatalities or destruction, left lasting effects on the land and those involved. Many did not know what to do, and it caused terror and fear in those who were ill prepared for the earthquake. It remains the largest earthquake in North America, and will always be remembered in the hearts of the Americans.
According to Allison and Zelikow admit the deviancy saying “characterization of the rational actor’s choice in a world of uncertainty about estimated consequences of options requires further information or assumptions about the actors’ attitude toward risk.” Allison justifies the model saying people must use the Rational Actor Paradigm. It uses a “systematic statement of the basic assumptions, concepts, and propositions employed in the basic school of analysis”. In our example, the only known objective was to agree upon that a decision of some kind had to be made. The options on the table were increase law enforcement, create exclusion zones, mass deportation, internment, extermination, propaganda, encourage loyalty, full scale evacuation or simply do nothing.
Have you ever wondered what it would be like to not have a house? Or be rummaging through rubble to find your family well that 's what it was like in the Philippines when a huge earthquake hit in Bohol. When a 7.1 earthquake hits in Bohol, it is the strongest temblor to shake the area in over 23 years, it killed over 180 people and destroyed almost all the houses down to the foundation. Ports, schools and airports reported damage, and a hospital collapsed on Bohol in Loon, killing at least 18 people (BE).
Haiti is one of LEDCs and the 145th poorest country where more than 70% of people are living with less than $2 per day. About 86% of people in Port au Prince lived in slums that were poorly built and very dense. Haiti is located on the boundary of the Caribbean and North American plates. Haiti is part of a large Caribbean island called Hispaniola. It is located next to Dominican Republic, which covers over half of the island.
The process is more flexible and direct that agreement among decision-makers but not scientific analysis determines the policies adoption (Anderson, 2010). Yet, there are no incentives for achieving long-term goals. The decision is made on each issue and the decision-makers need not to consider the consistency to the long-term goals. There is no guide to decision-makers to arrive at the adjustments (Jones, 2004) and the theory cannot be empirically proved.
The problem of counterfactuals has been an ongoing problem in the scientific community that has drawn great attention because of their failure to comply with the laws of logic while still providing us with satisfactory outcomes. There are many different types of challenging counterfactuals and each present their own unique and difficult problems. The various types of counterfactuals are explained by Nelson Goodman in his book "Fact Fiction and Forecast", and there is specific a type named "counteridenticals" which draws my attention. The explanation which Goodman gives for the problem of counteridenticals seems to be flawed in my view, and I interpret the situation in a very different way. In this paper, I will argue why the counteridenticals
Ursula K. Le Guin’s 1975 essay, “The Child and the Shadow”, explores the concept of a human and their shadow and the realm of collective consciousness and collective unconsciousness. The essay begins by Le Guin summarizing a tale written by Hans Christian Andersen. This tale involves a young man and his overpowering shadow. It starts off by the man, whom is very shy, falling head over heels for a beautiful woman who lives across the street. However, he never meets this woman, his shadow does.
