David Shambaugh's Geopolitical Essay

444 Words2 Pages

China’s future has become one of the key global uncertainties in today’s geopolitical landscape. David Shambaugh highlights some of the monumental turning points China is currently facing in its societal structure, exploring the challenges and hurdles of the nations political body, economic strategy, and social cohesion. This essay will further investigate how China’s society has transformed from an agrarian, uneducated and developing state to an urbanized, industrial, and increasingly wealthy state, and how this has led to the current conditions that are generating this panic on China’s future. Shambaugh indicates that one of the major characteristics of this transformation to China’s society is the revolution of rising expectations. As Deng Xiaoping supported the ideology “To get rich is glorious!”, private business and economic output soared in China’s …show more content…

Shambaugh illustrates that the four bordering territories (Xinjiang, Tibet, Taiwan and Hong Kong) are becoming increasingly autonomous from Chinese culture, regulation and ideology. It is beginning to look like the periphery states will provide a long-lasting challenge for the central Chinese government that could result in full-scale civil disobedience, anti-regime practices and ultimately separate cultural and political identities. Shambaugh insists that the situation is already dire and will likely become more, not less, unstable in the future. One of the main socio-political issues also preventing the stability of China’s future is the rise and evolution of civil society. This will be one of the key pressure points on Party rule over the next decade in China, as the struggle between party- state and society over civil society is only going to grow more controversial and contentious over