Bottom Up verses Top Down Economics: A Comparative Analysis of the causes, interventions and effects of FDR’s WPA and Reagans Trickle Down Economics
Claire Mortilla, Nicole Mair and Roosevelt Ward
4/1/2015
Western Connecticut State University
March 30, 2015
Bottom Up verses Top Down Economics: A Comparative Analysis of the causes, interventions and effects of FDR’s WPA and Reagans Trickle Down Economics
I. Introduction
What were the Economic conditions that required such drastic interventions?
This is a comparative and descriptive analysis of two administrations, the Roosevelt and Reagan administrations, which faced dire economic situations. While the circumstances of both economies were similar, each administration had opposite
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The country was reeling from the stock market crash of 1929. Industrial production was at an all-time low, and bank failures were extreme. In fact, when Franklin Delano Roosevelt (FDR) took office, nearly all banks were closed. FDR declared a bank holiday, which closed all financial institutions for four days. In addition to the banking crisis, farms were failing miserably. This was due to a cycle of falling prices and increases in production. This created surpluses that resulted in a “market glut” which causes prices to fall even further.
Fast-forward to 1980, when Ronald Reagan entered the White House. The unemployment rate was ten-percent (10.8%), inflation was in the double digit range and the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose from eleven-percent (11.3%) in 1979 to thirteen-percent (13.5%) in 1980, a twenty-five (25%) increase! The prime interest rate was 21.5%. Real family median income declined by 10% by 1982, and that caused the poverty rate to rise to 15.2%. The Dow Jones industrial average lost 70% of its real
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It was, in the end considered to be quite successful, rocky and risky though.
Reagan’s interventions realized the following: real GDP per working age adult rose from 0.8 % during the Carter Administration to 1.8% during Reagan’s administration. Productivity growth: output per hour in the business sector increased at at 1.4% rate during Reagan’s term in office. Most impressive is that productivity in the manufacturing sector increased at a rate of 3.8% annually, which was a record for a peacetime economy. The rate of new businesses increased sharply.
Unemployment declined from 7% to 4.2% in 1988. Inflation declined from 10.4% in 1980 to 4.2% in 1988. This combination of conditions proved that there is no long run trade-off between the unemployment rate and the inflation rate; the Phillips Curve