Trump vs Biden: Predicting the Outcome of the 2024 Election. The 2024 presidential election will be a pivotal moment in American politics that is set to shape the nation’s trajectory for years to come. With the assumption that the race will pit a rematch between Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Joe Biden, the stakes are incredibly high. As the race intensifies, understanding the factors that could sway voter preferences is critical for predicting the ultimate winner. Each candidate has distinct advantages and disadvantages that could influence the outcome, making predicting the winner of this election a significant challenge. However, there are numerous factors that point towards a victory for Trump. These include the pivotal roles of …show more content…
In addition to party ID and voter groups benefiting Trump, it seems that potential third-party candidates could benefit Trump. A third-party presidential movement, No Labels, is planning to move towards securing a presidential candidate in the November election (Unity Ticket 2024 FAQs, 2024). Many polls suggest that numerous Americans are not favorable toward either Biden or Trump. Therefore, No Labels is taking this opportunity to offer bipartisan tickets ("Unity Ticket 2024 FAQs," 2024). No labeled views align with principles of bipartisanship as well as problem-solving, regardless of party affiliation. If they do continue, they plan to have candidates from various parties share their views ("Unity Ticket 2024 FAQs," 2024). On the other hand, historically, third-party candidates don’t win, so that entails that this third-party group will pull support from the Democratic ticket while boosting the Republican nominee (Beaumont & Peoples, 2024). Biden supporters worry No Labels will pull votes away from the president in swing states (Beaumont & Peoples, 2024). This group is driven by the fact it would represent a “unity ticket” for those unhappy with both Biden and Trump, and it would have presidential and vice