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Understanding Coin Toss Outcomes: Continuous vs Discrete Payoffs
Understanding Coin Toss Outcomes: Continuous vs Discrete Payoffs
School
McMaster University
*
*We aren't endorsed by this school
Course
COMMERCE 2DA3
Subject
Accounting
Date
Dec 10, 2024
Pages
46
Uploaded by KidReindeerPerson1256
Coin Toss Example
Solution 1- Continuous Uniform
Solution 2- Discrete Uniform
Replications
Rand #
E Payoff
Avg Payoff
E Payoff (D)
Avg Payoff (D)
1
0.214324
100
100
1
100
100
2
0.546577
0
50
1
100
100
3
0.184489
100
66.66666667
1
100
100
4
0.151588
100
75
0
0
75
5
0.39204
100
80
1
100
80
6
0.472635
100
83.33333333
1
100
83.333333333
7
0.340539
100
85.71428571
0
0
71.428571429
8
0.932236
0
75
1
100
75
9
0.353018
100
77.77777778
1
100
77.777777778
10
0.348064
100
80
0
0
70
11
0.447791
100
81.81818182
1
100
72.727272727
12
0.081454
100
83.33333333
1
100
75
13
0.391449
100
84.61538462
1
100
76.923076923
14
0.702453
0
78.57142857
0
0
71.428571429
15
0.116069
100
80
0
0
66.666666667
16
0.663742
0
75
1
100
68.75
17
0.793143
0
70.58823529
0
0
64.705882353
18
0.985772
0
66.66666667
0
0
61.111111111
19
0.356703
100
68.42105263
0
0
57.894736842
20
0.249085
100
70
0
0
55
21
0.818006
0
66.66666667
1
100
57.142857143
22
0.22823
100
68.18181818
0
0
54.545454545
23
0.461531
100
69.56521739
1
100
56.52173913
24
0.467395
100
70.83333333
1
100
58.333333333
25
0.854782
0
68
1
100
60
26
0.693948
0
65.38461538
1
100
61.538461538
27
0.890381
0
62.96296296
0
0
59.259259259
28
0.863861
0
60.71428571
1
100
60.714285714
29
0.061074
100
62.06896552
1
100
62.068965517
30
0.087212
100
63.33333333
0
0
60
31
0.515566
0
61.29032258
0
0
58.064516129
32
0.148144
100
62.5
0
0
56.25
33
0.517437
0
60.60606061
0
0
54.545454545
34
0.695021
0
58.82352941
0
0
52.941176471
35
0.550677
0
57.14285714
1
100
54.285714286
36
0.141425
100
58.33333333
0
0
52.777777778
37
0.001201
100
59.45945946
1
100
54.054054054
38
0.242214
100
60.52631579
0
0
52.631578947
39
0.281443
100
61.53846154
0
0
51.282051282
40
0.755092
0
60
0
0
50
Rand #
(Discrete)
41
0.66879
0
58.53658537
1
100
51.219512195
42
0.637356
0
57.14285714
0
0
50
43
0.749561
0
55.81395349
1
100
51.162790698
44
0.83687
0
54.54545455
0
0
50
45
0.109581
100
55.55555556
1
100
51.111111111
46
0.74464
0
54.34782609
1
100
52.173913043
47
0.241702
100
55.31914894
1
100
53.191489362
48
0.91961
0
54.16666667
1
100
54.166666667
49
0.258929
100
55.10204082
0
0
53.06122449
50
0.85158
0
54
1
100
54
51
0.910131
0
52.94117647
0
0
52.941176471
52
0.172734
100
53.84615385
1
100
53.846153846
53
0.301982
100
54.71698113
0
0
52.830188679
54
0.340345
100
55.55555556
1
100
53.703703704
55
0.988315
0
54.54545455
0
0
52.727272727
56
0.1618
100
55.35714286
1
100
53.571428571
57
0.681968
0
54.38596491
1
100
54.385964912
58
0.256634
100
55.17241379
1
100
55.172413793
59
0.674702
0
54.23728814
0
0
54.237288136
60
0.365151
100
55
0
0
53.333333333
61
0.745153
0
54.09836066
0
0
52.459016393
62
0.655478
0
53.22580645
1
100
53.225806452
63
0.723488
0
52.38095238
1
100
53.968253968
64
0.140513
100
53.125
0
0
53.125
65
0.207777
100
53.84615385
1
100
53.846153846
66
0.356537
100
54.54545455
0
0
53.03030303
67
0.043786
100
55.2238806
0
0
52.23880597
68
0.332813
100
55.88235294
0
0
51.470588235
69
0.094629
100
56.52173913
1
100
52.173913043
70
0.678
0
55.71428571
0
0
51.428571429
71
0.956881
0
54.92957746
0
0
50.704225352
72
0.909343
0
54.16666667
0
0
50
73
0.477937
100
54.79452055
1
100
50.684931507
74
0.28329
100
55.40540541
0
0
50
75
0.543916
0
54.66666667
0
0
49.333333333
76
0.229637
100
55.26315789
1
100
50
77
0.138598
100
55.84415584
1
100
50.649350649
78
0.556046
0
55.12820513
1
100
51.282051282
79
0.179179
100
55.69620253
1
100
51.898734177
80
0.805354
0
55
1
100
52.5
81
0.073601
100
55.55555556
1
100
53.086419753
82
0.569573
0
54.87804878
0
0
52.43902439
83
0.704317
0
54.21686747
1
100
53.012048193
84
0.583218
0
53.57142857
1
100
53.571428571
85
0.38409
100
54.11764706
0
0
52.941176471
86
0.38007
100
54.65116279
0
0
52.325581395
87
0.557654
0
54.02298851
0
0
51.724137931
88
0.825507
0
53.40909091
1
100
52.272727273
89
0.869254
0
52.80898876
1
100
52.808988764
90
0.621311
0
52.22222222
0
0
52.222222222
91
0.688582
0
51.64835165
1
100
52.747252747
92
0.265829
100
52.17391304
1
100
53.260869565
93
0.625444
0
51.61290323
0
0
52.688172043
94
0.443074
100
52.12765957
1
100
53.191489362
95
0.783754
0
51.57894737
1
100
53.684210526
96
0.960229
0
51.04166667
0
0
53.125
97
0.592538
0
50.51546392
0
0
52.577319588
98
0.057367
100
51.02040816
0
0
52.040816327
99
0.21884
100
51.51515152
0
0
51.515151515
100
0.808487
0
51
0
0
51
101
0.868356
0
50.4950495
0
0
50.495049505
102
0.891426
0
50
1
100
50.980392157
103
0.065676
100
50.48543689
0
0
50.485436893
104
0.623733
0
50
0
0
50
105
0.120562
100
50.47619048
1
100
50.476190476
106
0.673033
0
50
0
0
50
107
0.635524
0
49.53271028
0
0
49.53271028
108
0.756822
0
49.07407407
1
100
50
109
0.199417
100
49.5412844
0
0
49.541284404
110
0.12008
100
50
1
100
50
111
0.877289
0
49.54954955
1
100
50.45045045
112
0.368627
100
50
1
100
50.892857143
113
0.912738
0
49.55752212
0
0
50.442477876
114
0.847209
0
49.12280702
1
100
50.877192982
115
0.528352
0
48.69565217
0
0
50.434782609
116
0.705968
0
48.27586207
1
100
50.862068966
117
0.412284
100
48.71794872
1
100
51.282051282
118
0.886469
0
48.30508475
1
100
51.694915254
119
0.740751
0
47.89915966
0
0
51.260504202
120
0.476315
100
48.33333333
0
0
50.833333333
121
0.456086
100
48.76033058
0
0
50.41322314
122
0.681814
0
48.36065574
1
100
50.819672131
123
0.820068
0
47.96747967
1
100
51.219512195
124
0.122257
100
48.38709677
0
0
50.806451613
125
0.699358
0
48
0
0
50.4
126
0.743842
0
47.61904762
1
100
50.793650794
127
0.69733
0
47.24409449
1
100
51.181102362
128
0.124328
100
47.65625
0
0
50.78125
129
0.859738
0
47.28682171
1
100
51.162790698
130
0.258039
100
47.69230769
1
100
51.538461538
131
0.295796
100
48.09160305
0
0
51.145038168
132
0.195457
100
48.48484848
1
100
51.515151515
133
0.92157
0
48.12030075
1
100
51.879699248
134
0.231504
100
48.50746269
1
100
52.23880597
135
0.712993
0
48.14814815
1
100
52.592592593
136
0.617102
0
47.79411765
0
0
52.205882353
137
0.21923
100
48.17518248
1
100
52.554744526
138
0.193654
100
48.55072464
0
0
52.173913043
139
0.065592
100
48.92086331
1
100
52.517985612
140
0.902216
0
48.57142857
1
100
52.857142857
141
0.566134
0
48.22695035
1
100
53.191489362
142
0.030338
100
48.5915493
1
100
53.521126761
143
0.535665
0
48.25174825
0
0
53.146853147
144
0.988965
0
47.91666667
0
0
52.777777778
145
0.166118
100
48.27586207
0
0
52.413793103
146
0.73549
0
47.94520548
0
0
52.054794521
147
0.633999
0
47.61904762
0
0
51.700680272
148
0.543456
0
47.2972973
0
0
51.351351351
149
0.937447
0
46.97986577
0
0
51.006711409
150
0.064515
100
47.33333333
0
0
50.666666667
151
0.028161
100
47.68211921
1
100
50.993377483
152
0.974993
0
47.36842105
1
100
51.315789474
153
0.127123
100
47.7124183
0
0
50.980392157
154
0.678269
0
47.4025974
1
100
51.298701299
155
0.362114
100
47.74193548
1
100
51.612903226
156
0.631326
0
47.43589744
1
100
51.923076923
157
0.544156
0
47.13375796
1
100
52.229299363
158
0.307247
100
47.46835443
1
100
52.53164557
159
0.656208
0
47.16981132
1
100
52.830188679
160
0.520151
0
46.875
0
0
52.5
161
0.056929
100
47.20496894
1
100
52.795031056
162
0.199414
100
47.5308642
1
100
53.086419753
163
0.871021
0
47.2392638
0
0
52.760736196
164
0.618225
0
46.95121951
1
100
53.048780488
165
0.04537
100
47.27272727
0
0
52.727272727
166
0.848554
0
46.98795181
0
0
52.409638554
167
0.67043
0
46.70658683
0
0
52.095808383
168
0.358537
100
47.02380952
1
100
52.380952381
169
0.410732
100
47.33727811
1
100
52.662721893
170
0.726262
0
47.05882353
0
0
52.352941176
171
0.073787
100
47.36842105
1
100
52.631578947
172
0.317911
100
47.6744186
1
100
52.906976744
173
0.696991
0
47.39884393
0
0
52.601156069
174
0.374134
100
47.70114943
1
100
52.873563218
175
0.652801
0
47.42857143
0
0
52.571428571
176
0.761703
0
47.15909091
1
100
52.840909091
177
0.859625
0
46.89265537
1
100
53.107344633
178
0.911255
0
46.62921348
0
0
52.808988764
179
0.325818
100
46.9273743
1
100
53.072625698
180
0.60115
0
46.66666667
0
0
52.777777778
181
0.915371
0
46.40883978
0
0
52.486187845
182
0.378505
100
46.7032967
0
0
52.197802198
183
0.280337
100
46.99453552
1
100
52.459016393
184
0.660686
0
46.73913043
1
100
52.717391304
185
0.073352
100
47.02702703
1
100
52.972972973
186
0.823307
0
46.77419355
0
0
52.688172043
187
0.514141
0
46.52406417
1
100
52.941176471
188
0.238209
100
46.80851064
1
100
53.191489362
189
0.173833
100
47.08994709
0
0
52.91005291
190
0.37278
100
47.36842105
1
100
53.157894737
191
0.187633
100
47.64397906
0
0
52.879581152
192
0.059609
100
47.91666667
0
0
52.604166667
193
0.162654
100
48.1865285
1
100
52.849740933
194
0.859081
0
47.93814433
0
0
52.577319588
195
0.648799
0
47.69230769
0
0
52.307692308
196
0.044117
100
47.95918367
0
0
52.040816327
197
0.470258
100
48.22335025
0
0
51.776649746
198
0.761026
0
47.97979798
0
0
51.515151515
199
0.692861
0
47.73869347
1
100
51.75879397
200
0.153765
100
48
1
100
52
201
0.081929
100
48.25870647
0
0
51.741293532
202
0.461008
100
48.51485149
1
100
51.98019802
203
0.171502
100
48.76847291
1
100
52.216748768
204
0.822925
0
48.52941176
1
100
52.450980392
205
0.607422
0
48.29268293
0
0
52.195121951
206
0.230537
100
48.54368932
1
100
52.427184466
207
0.919812
0
48.30917874
0
0
52.173913043
208
0.234131
100
48.55769231
0
0
51.923076923
209
0.413941
100
48.80382775
0
0
51.674641148
210
0.906333
0
48.57142857
0
0
51.428571429
211
0.868976
0
48.34123223
0
0
51.184834123
212
0.698202
0
48.11320755
1
100
51.41509434
213
0.756786
0
47.88732394
0
0
51.17370892
214
0.728413
0
47.6635514
0
0
50.934579439
215
0.072319
100
47.90697674
1
100
51.162790698
216
0.319021
100
48.14814815
0
0
50.925925926
217
0.792722
0
47.92626728
0
0
50.69124424
218
0.477932
100
48.16513761
1
100
50.917431193
219
0.783043
0
47.94520548
1
100
51.141552511
220
0.894621
0
47.72727273
0
0
50.909090909
221
0.078729
100
47.9638009
0
0
50.678733032
222
0.646764
0
47.74774775
0
0
50.45045045
223
0.871055
0
47.53363229
1
100
50.67264574
224
0.795568
0
47.32142857
1
100
50.892857143
225
0.836677
0
47.11111111
0
0
50.666666667
226
0.344774
100
47.34513274
1
100
50.884955752
227
0.384405
100
47.57709251
1
100
51.101321586
228
0.329759
100
47.80701754
0
0
50.877192982
229
0.701334
0
47.59825328
0
0
50.655021834
230
0.180265
100
47.82608696
1
100
50.869565217
231
0.249236
100
48.05194805
1
100
51.082251082
232
0.695558
0
47.84482759
1
100
51.293103448
233
0.863419
0
47.63948498
1
100
51.502145923
234
0.39635
100
47.86324786
0
0
51.282051282
235
0.08439
100
48.08510638
1
100
51.489361702
236
0.380967
100
48.30508475
1
100
51.694915254
237
0.054959
100
48.52320675
0
0
51.476793249
238
0.361082
100
48.7394958
1
100
51.680672269
239
0.322489
100
48.9539749
0
0
51.464435146
240
0.198259
100
49.16666667
0
0
51.25
241
0.385678
100
49.37759336
0
0
51.037344398
242
0.150057
100
49.58677686
0
0
50.826446281
243
0.733422
0
49.38271605
1
100
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100
50.46248715
0
0
49.845837616
974
0.689726
0
50.41067762
0
0
49.794661191
975
0.879749
0
50.35897436
0
0
49.743589744
976
0.897045
0
50.30737705
0
0
49.692622951
977
0.288648
100
50.35823951
1
100
49.744114637
978
0.467694
100
50.40899796
1
100
49.795501022
979
0.802146
0
50.35750766
0
0
49.744637385
980
0.163896
100
50.40816327
1
100
49.795918367
981
0.790065
0
50.3567788
1
100
49.847094801
982
0.039925
100
50.40733198
0
0
49.796334012
983
0.338973
100
50.4577823
0
0
49.745676501
984
0.563048
0
50.40650407
1
100
49.796747967
985
0.95161
0
50.35532995
1
100
49.847715736
986
0.991515
0
50.30425963
1
100
49.898580122
987
0.136156
100
50.35460993
0
0
49.848024316
988
0.632807
0
50.30364372
1
100
49.898785425
989
0.305934
100
50.35389282
0
0
49.848331648
990
0.057721
100
50.4040404
0
0
49.797979798
991
0.839191
0
50.35317861
0
0
49.747729566
992
0.865917
0
50.30241935
0
0
49.697580645
993
0.856929
0
50.25176234
1
100
49.748237664
994
0.107788
100
50.30181087
0
0
49.698189135
995
0.371694
100
50.35175879
0
0
49.648241206
996
0.365461
100
50.40160643
0
0
49.598393574
997
0.837597
0
50.35105316
0
0
49.548645938
998
0.903679
0
50.3006012
1
100
49.599198397
999
0.791073
0
50.25025025
1
100
49.64964965
1000
0.77254
0
50.2
0
0
49.6
1000 Replications
Payoff
50
100
50.2
49.6
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50
Closed-
form
Avg
Payoff
Avg Payoff
(D)
1
55 109163217271325379433487541595649703757811865919973
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Chart Title
Avg C
Avg D
Closed form
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