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The Role Of Uncertainty In Science Fiction

198 Words1 Pages
Projects are by description uncertain – you are trying to forecast a future outcome and as the failure of economic estimates routinely demonstrate, making expectations is easy; getting the prediction correct is very difficult. Yet, most future outcomes will become a certain fact; only one horse wins a race, the activity will only take one precise period to complete. What is uncertain is what we know about the ‘winner’ or the duration in advance of the happening. The future once it occurs will be a precise set of historical facts, until that point there is always a grade of uncertainty. There are two basic types of ‘uncertainty’ Reducible uncertainty these risks can be reduced by changing plans, spending money or creating alternatives. This
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