The success of any business in the field is determined by the frequent decisions made not only by the managers at top levels but also managers of significant projects. Decisions in business are closely affected by risks involved in the implementation of strategic business goals and general future plans. Therefore managers need to spend more time in the decision-making process so that the possible outcomes in future are successful. In business a good decision is recognized when the idea achieves two objectives, one being the desirability of each outcome delivered and secondly likelihood of the choices made in generating different outcomes. Generally, good decisions require good judgment as well as greater prediction of final outcomes. …show more content…
In this case, the rules concerning base rate are important in research prediction for better judgment in decision making, for example preferring outcome B to C does it happen regularly as in the case of quitting a job to become an entrepreneur. Therefore analysis of better decisions should include both prediction and …show more content…
Avoiding negativity in relative basic training in probability helps people become better forecasters of expected outcomes. The rules on frequency of outcomes and being less overconfident can be achieved in greater ways through the implementation of probability aspects. These ideals can be helpful for greater achievements of business objectives in the long run whereby decision makers need to constantly revisit them and should not be important only during a crisis(Emmons, 2017).
Great decisions made are greatly concerned with the overall risk status involved therefore decision maker needs to employ strategic risk management strategies. Risk management includes identification of possible issues that will negatively affect the final outcomes if not properly mitigated. The risk management strategies are intended to continuously identify risks, its status and monitoring the progress in reducing its effect on possible outcomes. Risk mitigation techniques involve risk acceptance and monitoring, transfer and avoidance, as well as