Some would argue that the 2016 presidential candidacy is an unpredictable selection of neosocialist democrats and conservative republicans. Although I ultimately agree that the question I propose cannot be predicted with any certainty, I also believe by in-sighting the process of deduction, statistical evidence, historical fact and cultural narrative, one can certainly begin to understand who may have a greater chance of becoming the 45th leader of the free world. I also understand that a lot can change in a year, my predictions are purely based on what we already know, so I will be using current information to pontificate a possible outcome.
There are currently 15 republican candidates and 3 democrats running for president, according to ongoing
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Similarly social media can help determine how far a parties message spreads online and how popular an individual is, this is a big factor in contemporary politics. Twitter is one of the largest social media websites in the world so I will state how many followers each person has (as of November 6th 2015) to provide an example of the four candidates’ online presence. Hillary Clinton: 4.6 million followers. Donald Trump: 4.7 millions followers. Bernie Sanders: 811.1 thousand followers. Ben Carson: 871.4 thousand followers. Clinton and Trump seem to have a significantly higher amount of followers to their counterparts Sanders and Carson. However, it’s interesting how close Clinton and Trump are, is it possible that there are already two dominating personalities that will be going head to head in 2016? Barack Obama had one of the most successful social media campaigns of any president, as a result in 2008 66% of his overall votes where by men and women aged 30 and under, this was the largest gap between young voters and any other age group in almost 40 years, proof that having a strong online impact can effect the final castings of an …show more content…
I rather optimistically believe these factors won’t help Trump become president in a diverse first world country. I also think the American people may have slightly lost there trust in the republican party after George W Bush’s 8 years in office, until they provide a truly alternative campaigner, I believe the democrats will stand a better chance of winning. On the opposite end of the spectrum Bernie Sanders is being hailed a hero by a lot of people for his articulate and honest approach to US politics, he is the oldest candidate of the 4 I’ve mentioned and perhaps the wisest, his ideas seem to lend themselves to a more caring and open society, despite a lot of them seeming radical and even ‘communist’ to the more traditional westerners. Sanders wants to strictly regulate wall street and have fairer tax laws on corporations/ the richest 1% (he seems to want more sharing and less greed). I wonder whether electing a president like this would be to big of a step for the general consensus, if Bernie and Hilary are the two choices from the democratic party, I feel as though most would see Hilary as the safer bet. Albeit a more piecemeal change than if Bernie won, people are understandably sceptical when someone proposes profound